WebGuild

My Account
Home Events Jobs Websites Groups
   Archives  |  Tag Cloud  |  Submit Stories  |  RSS Feed RSS  |  Atom Feed  |  Subscribe
http://www
Social Media Strategies Conference
October 29-30, 2008
Stanford Court Hotel, San Francisco, CA
  Social Media Strategies Conference >>
  October 29-30, 2008  |  San Francisco, CA
Learn more

Startups - Revolution Or Evolution?

By Joseph Hunkins at December 09, 2007 1 Comments

Rumors of “Bubble 2.0″ are running rampant. Many relatively new startups bite the dust. Other new startups hit the jackpot. What determines the success or failure of a technology company?

Today at TechCrunch there is a very thoughtful post by Mike Arrington about pulling the plug on one of his own startups - Edgeio. Here is somebody who has seen more Silicon Valley startup successes and failures than anybody, who has the best connections you can hope for in the valley, and had a brilliant technical team and great company advisors. Yet the company still failed.

My working hypothesis is that startups follow more along the path of biological evolution than along some easily predictable business paradigm. Evolution works *away from failure* rather than working *towards success*. Most biological species - historically over 99% - fail and become extinct. In the same way we should expect most startups to fail. Not so much because they did anything wrong, but because they simply could not work away from failure fast enough to keep afloat.

Labels:

One Comment

tracy said...

the number of comments just show that mike hit a truly sore spot…

December 10th, 2007 at 11:28 am

Post a comment


(required)


(required)(will not be published)



Previous:

AOL Desktop Organizes Your Online Life

Next:

Microsoft to Offer Mobile Ads










Twitter follow us on twitter


Loading...
Loading...



BayArea.net



Recent Comments

Links List 10.10.08 | ScienceLogic: [...] turn around without bumping

ErkenntnisWerk » Blog Archive » Bookmarks vom 10-10-2008: [...] IBM Enters Cloud Computing

Adie: Brilliant idea! It's clever,

Sekhar Ravinutala: This feature is optional, you

Sarath: Hi Reshma, If you can imagine


Recent Trackbacks

Links List 10.10.08 | ScienceLogic linked here saying, " turn around without bumping into another bad news story" ...

ErkenntnisWerk » Blog Archive » Bookmarks vom 10-10-2008 linked here saying, " IBM Enters Cloud Computing With Enterprise Social Office IBM" ...

HP CTOs Cloud Computing Presentation « FZI Cloud Computing News Stream linked here saying, " HP CTOs Cloud Computing Presentation Posted on October 9," ...

Obama-McCain debate Part 2 linked here saying, " eBay just laid-off 10% of their employees yesterday, she’s" ...

Meg Whitman for Treasury Secretary - Sherdog Mixed Martial Arts Forums linked here saying, " succession. c.) Who would be better suited to" ...

Free Webinars on social media « cynthya peranandam linked here saying, " media enthusiasts may be interested in the free Webinar" ...

is there a reason for this blog?™ :: The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Tech :: October :: 2008 linked here saying, " and opportunities facing various tech companies that rely on" ...

3 Thoughts on using Twitter | Internet Business Models linked here saying, " more? Read Tara Hunt’s excellent post on Twitter and" ...

Community Strategy links | Connie Bensen linked here saying, " LiveBar adds a Community to any website - Bryan" ...

Watching The Clouds | The Other Bloke's Blog linked here saying, " is very heady stuff. However it all came down" ...