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Massive HP Layoffs & What It Means For Silicon Valley


By Daya Baran at May 21, 2012 5 Comments    Share  

While Facebook IPOs, moves to a new campus and becomes a house hold name, Hewlett-Packard is planning one of its biggest layoffs, where it expects to cut between 25,000 and 30,000 people on Wednesday. This is in addition to the 120,000 layoffs its has done in the last few years.

HP, is a bloated company with no focus. Its employee head count has grown from 60,000 in 2000 to 360,000 today. Yet the markets it serves have remained the same. Its still a printer company in a age where no-one prints anymore (for sure young folks like me barely print anymore). I see this as the first leg of many more layoffs to come. I believe HP will be back to a 30,000 – 60,000 company in 5-7 years. Hence many more major layoffs are on the way.

HP’s demise also, affects many other valley companies like Intel, Net App, their suppliers and competitors. A smaller HP is bad for Intel, as it will buy less from Intel. There is no way, Intel can make up for the loss of HP’s business for a long time, if ever. This will spawn major layoffs in Intel’s supply channel. Expect Applied Materials, KLA and many others to be hit hard.

All this in turn will accelerate the downward spiral that Silicon Valley is on, one that I believe it won’t recover from. Silicon based technology is no longer a growth industry like its been for the past 50 years. Most of the large computation problems have been solved. The bay area and Silicon Valley, depend heavily on the tech sector, which is expected to take a big hit for years to come. That’s being optimistic.

Facebook and many of the social startups cannot absorb the massive layoffs to come. I see people leaving the valley in droves, home prices heading to the toilet, tax revenues drying up, crime going through the roof. Already, 30% of the many people in silicon valley eat at food banks and these are the good times (see 60 Minutes video). There is no time for foolish optimism. Its time for reality. The valley game is over.

Image source: Michael Totten

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5 Comments »

  1. "30% of the people in silicon valley eat at food banks and these are the good times" Making ludicrous assertions like this just damages your credibility Daya.

    Comment by Steve Bellamy — May 21, 2012 @ 10:18 AM

  2. HP is on the same path as Nokia, (who will layoff 120K of 360K also) but with more ability to recover. Consider HP just answered AWS this month with a real cloud offering.
    I don't think HP has that many employees in the Valley as it once did.
    Don't think its all Doom, but its not good either since many of those HP folks won't be competitive in the current market not knowing how to code or earn a cert. These things high school students have now.

    Comment by uaflyer — May 21, 2012 @ 10:24 AM

  3. Really?

    30% eat at Food Banks (you have the source for this info?)

    Most of the large computation problems have been solved – laughable assertion dude. (we haven't gone past near earth orbits in space nor have we cataloged most of the oceans, we don't know how many planets there are, nor the function of hundreds of genes). I say we have not even begun to scratch the surface of large computational problems

    Comment by Sarvesh Jagannivas — May 21, 2012 @ 11:03 AM

  4. It is interesting how you equate loss of employees to loss in revenue which is the whole basis of your argument about gloom and doom. HP can do this massive layoff without impact to its revenue and get to be more productive.

    Comment by Ramesh — May 21, 2012 @ 12:07 PM

  5. Daya…. Here are the components of HP's 2011 revenue (in millions). HP sells more than just printers.

    $22,241 – Enterprise Servers, Storage and Networking
    $3,396 – HP Financial Services
    $3,217 – HP Software
    $35,954 – Services
    $25,783 – Imaging and Printing Group
    $39,574 – Personal Systems Group

    source: 2011 Annual Report

    Comment by Cooools — July 23, 2012 @ 7:21 PM

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